Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.703770e-05 0.000080 0.000095 0.000111 0.000130 0.000150 0.000173
2025-03-09 4.691093e-05 0.000063 0.000082 0.000106 0.000134 0.000165 0.000204
2025-03-16 3.785753e-05 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000140 0.000180 0.000231
2025-03-23 3.080226e-05 0.000049 0.000073 0.000105 0.000146 0.000195 0.000258
2025-03-30 2.532868e-05 0.000044 0.000069 0.000104 0.000150 0.000207 0.000281
2025-04-06 2.019830e-05 0.000038 0.000064 0.000101 0.000151 0.000214 0.000298
2025-04-13 1.657919e-05 0.000034 0.000060 0.000099 0.000154 0.000224 0.000318
2025-04-20 1.263545e-05 0.000029 0.000054 0.000094 0.000151 0.000225 0.000327
2025-04-27 1.054642e-05 0.000026 0.000052 0.000094 0.000154 0.000235 0.000347
2025-05-04 8.966267e-06 0.000024 0.000051 0.000094 0.000159 0.000247 0.000370
2025-05-11 7.834406e-06 0.000023 0.000050 0.000096 0.000165 0.000260 0.000395
2025-05-18 6.794662e-06 0.000022 0.000049 0.000097 0.000171 0.000273 0.000419
2025-05-25 4.826385e-06 0.000018 0.000045 0.000093 0.000169 0.000278 0.000435
2025-06-01 3.310990e-06 0.000015 0.000040 0.000089 0.000167 0.000282 0.000450
2025-06-08 2.471906e-06 0.000013 0.000038 0.000088 0.000171 0.000293 0.000475
2025-06-15 1.864321e-06 0.000012 0.000037 0.000088 0.000175 0.000306 0.000503
2025-06-22 1.331683e-06 0.000010 0.000035 0.000087 0.000178 0.000316 0.000526
2025-06-29 8.600360e-07 0.000009 0.000032 0.000084 0.000177 0.000321 0.000543
2025-07-06 5.638064e-07 0.000008 0.000030 0.000083 0.000179 0.000330 0.000564
2025-07-13 2.830427e-07 0.000006 0.000027 0.000078 0.000175 0.000329 0.000572
2025-07-20 1.728708e-07 0.000005 0.000026 0.000078 0.000178 0.000339 0.000596
2025-07-27 1.061218e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000078 0.000182 0.000352 0.000624
2025-08-03 6.797914e-08 0.000004 0.000025 0.000079 0.000189 0.000368 0.000657